the ketzl ([info]ketzl) wrote,
@ 2008-04-26 20:34:00
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Current mood: pensive

litany of bad and good
Bad:

W's mother passed away last night.  Our dog Bobo died a week ago, our cat Malachi a few months ago, our dog Theo a few months before that.  W's mother, Bobo and Theo were all old and sick but it still feels like a lot of death in a short timespan.

The Southeast drought continues and the outlook is not good.

From Oct. 1 through the middle of April is considered Georgia’s moisture recharge period, when the state typically gets more rain than moisture loses due to evaporation and plant use.

North Georgia didn’t receive enough rain to fully recharge soil moisture, groundwater, streams or reservoirs. Since Oct. 1, north Georgia has received only 70 percent to 80 percent of normal rainfall.

Late April through October, moisture loss from soils is usually greater than rainfall. If Georgia has normal weather this summer, we can expect the soils to continue to dry out and groundwater levels, stream flows and reservoir levels to drop across the entire state.

$200/barrel oil in our near future (if not this summer, then soon)  But on the upside I telecommute, my vehicle gets 35 mpg and my grocery store's 5 miles away, so even if gas is $10/gal a trip to the grocery store still will only cost a few bucks.  Of course, food gets to my grocery store via truckers, who are already paying $1000/fillup.  And while I do live on a fair patch of rural land, it's mostly forested. Definitely time to get goats.  Maybe some free-range pigs and chickens too?

Now that the panic over bird flu is over, get ready for stem rust.  They're rationing rice in Costcos and Australia due to drought but we don't eat a lot of rice so who cares? 

A deadly fungus, known as Ug99, which kills wheat, has likely spread to Pakistan from Africa, according to reports in the British New Scientist. If true, that threatens the vital Asian bread basket, including the Punjab region.

The spread of the deadly virus, stem rust, against which an effective fungicide does not exist, comes as world grain stocks reach the lowest in four decades and government subsidized bio-ethanol production, especially in the United States, Brazil and the European Union, are taking land out of food production at alarming rates.
In 2007, a three-day "wind event" recorded by Mexico's CIMMYT had strong currents moving from Yemen, where Ug99 is present, across Pakistan and India, going all the way to China. CIMMYT estimates that from two-thirds to three-quarters of the wheat now planted in India and Pakistan are highly susceptible to this new strain of stem rust. One billion people who live in this region and they are highly dependent on wheat for their food supply.
Hope there isn't another "wind event" across the Pacific.  Think I'll plant a lot of potatoes this year.  Also get a bicycle and get in shape.  Also, goats.  There, I've put it on my calendar. 

Good: Tomorrow I garden!  And the sun is shining, I'm healthy and happily employed and surrounded by loved ones, I've got my bills paid and filed, I'm learning all about GTD and am able to keep my inbox managed.  No problems here.

I've just finished an amusing book called Apocalypse 2012 that makes an interesting case for December 21, 2012 being the date the shit hits the fan for America and indeed the whole world.  What's your best guess for the time til TSHTF?



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[info]stardances
2008-04-27 02:42 am UTC (link)
Eeps!
Sorry for the extended family passings, those are often very painful experiences. Time is nearly the only healing factor that I have found for loss. My heart extends to you and your family.

The price of oil seems to get increasingly worse as grocery prices skyrocket. My main suggestion with regards to groceries is to cook two large pots of beans a week rather than one, they freeze quite well too! (I buy dried 2 lb. bags, soak them overnight, then freeze the remainder for easy meals later) I go up to Sam's once a month and purchase large bags of Basmati and Jasmine Rice at extremely good prices there. GB & I have been planting some fruit trees this year, are putting in an herb garden and will try growing watermelons. Next year I will be co-opting gardening with a good friend, so that both families have plenty of organic veggies & berries.

I would like to have some chickens about but they are so very mean toward each other and dirty creatures that I will wait until they seem an absolute necessity.

The wind event that spreads stem rust is frightening! I will just hope with you that there is not another such event :/.

I really don't have any best guess about fan shit hitting, I heard alot of "end of the world" type doom during the 80's, then throughout the 90's everyone thought the end was upon everyone or would wind things up at 2000. After living through hurricane katrina rearranging my life I think that I will be around another 40 years :/, so I best make like enjoying my life :).

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[info]ketzl
2008-04-28 12:07 pm UTC (link)
Thanks for the thoughts, time is indeed the best cure.

Beans and rice are fine things :) As are fresh veggies/fruit from the garden. It's a blessing to receive nature's bounty but also very economical of course.

And it definitely puts things in perspective, Katrina vs. an extra few dollars in gas prices. Good point. Hmm.

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[info]grimjiminember
2008-04-27 06:56 am UTC (link)
My condolences for all the loss suffered recently.

2012 is the new millenialism.

The panic over bird flu is over, but there are still periodic culls of chickens afflicted with conventional (i.e., non-pandemic) avian flu. I'd consider it a low-probability existential threat that isn't going to go away any year soon.

Fertilizer prices are also up.

On the bright side, it's possible that humanity may be responsible for historically expanding the extent of the Amazon. Check out "terra preta".

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[info]ketzl
2008-04-28 12:04 pm UTC (link)
Terra preta, interesting! Wish I could get some that'd work in my garden, I'd expand its extent. Doing my best with compost though :)

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[info]agentmelo
2008-04-27 05:11 pm UTC (link)
Hey lady! Sorry to hear about the losses - it has been a trying time - death is so very natural, but I wish nature would get better at staggering it out.

I'm sorry I keep missing brunches. I would so like to hang out and see how things are.

Take care and I hope you can be a comfort to each other.

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[info]ketzl
2008-04-28 12:02 pm UTC (link)
Thanks :) Hope we can get together soon! Maybe next weekend?

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